Course # 28335

Reliability & Probability Course

This Reliability and Probability training is designed for aviation Engineers, Technicians and Inspectors. It covers both basic and advanced aircraft and equipment reliability using statistical and probabilistic analytical methods. The course starts with giving the student an understanding of basic statistics then moves on to the introduction of various statistical distributions including Binomial, Poisson, Exponential, Normal, Hyper Geometric, and Weibull. With this foundation, the course applies these statistical methods to aircraft reliability with respect to design, inspections, preventive maintenance, and flight worthiness. Reliability applications include failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis (FMECA), fault tree analysis (FTA), function hazard analysis (FHA), risk determination, fail safe design, redundancy, and zonal analysis. Examples involve real world situations and students will have the opportunity to perform calculations and make decisions using exercises reflective of real world situations.

Course Objectives

  • To familiarize aircraft manufacturing engineers, liaison engineers, Aviation Safety Inspectors (ASIs), and technicians with:
  • Basic concepts of probability and reliability
  • Binomial, Poisson, Exponential, Normal, Hypergeometric, Weibull distributions
  • Calculate reliability using probability and logic concepts.
  • Explain and demonstrate the effect of redundancy on reliability calculations
  • Fault Tree Analysis, (FTA)
  • Failure Mode and Effects Analysis, (FMEA)
  • Functional Hazard Analysis (FHA), and explain its relationship to reliability
  • Zonal Analysis, and explain its relationship to FHA, FMEA, and FTA
  • Relate analytical probability and reliability values to the requirements of the Federal Airworthiness Regulations
  • To be a resource to each other

Who should take this training:

Managers / Engineers / Materials Scientists / Inspectors / DERs in:

  • Aircraft Maintenance
  • Aircraft Production
  • Airline Liaison with OEM
  • Continuing Airworthiness
  • Aircraft Production
  • Helicopter Maintenance
  • Repair
  • Accident Investigation
  • Engine Overhaul
  • Materials Selection
  • Materials and Processing (M&P)
  • Automobile
  • Structural Analysis
  • Structural Design
  • Fatigue Crack Growth Analysis
  • Safety Officers
  • Wiring / Ageing Avionics
  • Regulatory Authority, NAAs
  • Corrosion Prevention & Control Programs (CPCP)

From Industries including but not limited to:

  • Airlines
  • Defense Directorates
  • MROs, Repair Stations
  • Army
  • Aircraft and Component Manufacturers
  • Airforce
  • Technical College
  • Navy
  • Civil Aviation Authorities
  • Aircraft Manufacturers
  • Material Suppliers
  • Universities
  • Accident Investigation Agencies, NTSB
  • FAA Aviation Safety Inspectors

Training Syllabus:

Introduction

  • Reliability Centered Asset Management
  • Reliability
  • Asset
  • Hierarchy
  • Basic Failure Modes and Effects Analysis
  • Life-cycle

Probabilistic Statistics

  • Counting
  • Permutations
  • Combinations
  • Probability and basic statistics
  • Bayes’ Theorem

Statistical Distributions

  • Continuous and Discrete Variables
  • Continuous Distribution
  • Normal Distribution
  • Discrete Distribution
  • Binomial Distribution
  • Hypergeometric Distribution
  • Poisson Distribution

Physics of failure

  • Design life-cycle
  • Design for reliability
  • Failure, Malfunction, and Hazard
  • Failure Characteristics
  • Safe Life and Fail Safe
  • Engine Example
  • Integrated Circuit Example

Reliability Calculations

  • Quantitative Reliability
  • Qualitative Reliability
  • MTBF
  • Severity
  • Likelihood
  • Risk
  • Availability
  • Maintainability

Reliability Analysis Techniques

  • Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA)
  • Weibull Analysis
  • Reliability-Centered Maintenance (RCM)/ Maintenance Steering Group (MSG) Analysis
  • Root Cause Failure Analysis (RCFA)
  • Failed Parts Analysis
  • Hazard Analysis
  • Fault Tree Analysis

Reliability Analysis Techniques

  • Markov Analysis
  • System Safety Assessment

Using Data in Reliability Analyses

Analysis Review Process

Conclusion